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NAIA Bracketology Report – 3rd Edition

NAIA Bracketology Report – 3rd Edition

By naiahoopsreport_admin February 14, 2021 0 Comments

We here at NAIA Hoops Report are pumped to welcome Red Banner Roundball on board to the site. Red Banner Roundball has a passion for putting together projections for the NAIA National Tournament. He has been doing it for years and now that the NAIA is 1 Division we have teamed up with them to help bring you a NAIA Bracketology Report. Red Banner will act as our “Joey Brackets” per say as we continue to look for ways to bring you the best NAIA Hoops Coverage around!

We will start this article by saying that this is meant to be a fun article and by no means do we expect to be 100% accurate with the projections. We have done a lot of research on auto bids, ARC’s, RPI’s and SoS’s and used the data at hand to do our best to project what could happen with the NAIA National Tournament this season. The NAIA finally released the full details for the league by league auto-bid breakdowns. There will be 37 auto-bids that are assigned, leaving just 11 at-large selections. You can find those here:

NAIA Men’s Basketball Conference Tournament Page

The Bracket

Overall Seeding

Field Notes:
Last four on the inside: Carroll (MT), Cumberlands (KY), Dillard, Wayland Baptist

First four on the outside: Dakota Wesleyan, Holy Cross, Huntington, Thomas More

Next four on the outside: Saint Francis (IN), Columbia (MO), Texas Wesleyan, Middle Georgia State

Moving in: Mayville State, Governors State, Cumberlands, Reinhardt, Rochester, St Xavier, Vanguard, Wayland Baptist

Moving out: Dakota Wesleyan, Saint Ambrose, Columbia International, College of Idaho, Texas Wesleyan, Lourdes, Holy Cross, Thomas More
 
Teams who have clinched a National Tournament spot:
 
#1 Indiana Wesleyan – Crossroads League Regular Season Champions
#3 William Penn – Heart of America Athletic Conference Regular Season Champions
#6 Shawnee State – Mid-South Conference Regular Season Champions
#9 Morningside – Great Plains Athletic Conference Regular Season Champions
 
 
 
– We have the bracket set up so that two teams from the same conference aren’t paired up in the same POD. 
– With that in mind, a few teams are having to leave their ARC’s and regions in order to make things work.
 
 
 

ARC Rankings

GREAT LAKES 
Crossroads League
Mid-South Conference
River States Conference
Wolverine-Hoosier Athletic Conference
 

MIDWEST
American Midwest Conference
Heart of America

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference

NORTH/CENTRAL
California Pacific Conference
Great Plains Athletic Conference
North Star Athletic Conference
Chicagoland Collegiate Athletic Conference

SOUTHEAST
Appalachian Athletic Conference
Gulf Coast Athletic Conference
Southern States Athletic Conference
The Sun Conference

SOUTHWEST
American Independent Institutions
Red River Athletic Conference
Sooner Athletic Conference

WEST
Cascade Collegiate Conference
Frontier Conference
Golden State Athletic Conference

Bid Breakdown

In our 1st two Bracketology Reports, we had most of the auto-bids correct, but did have a couple wrong. Now that the NAIA officially posted the bids, we have updated the bid breakdown sheet accordingly. There are just 11 at-large spots available and you can make arguments for about 20 teams. It will be interesting to see how the selection committee values teams who have played 20+ games against those who will only get between 10-15 games in. Another interesting thing to watch for is how the selection committee works in teams who lost with players who were out to Covid or injuries. If teams who lost those games or even multiple games during a 10-14 day period affects bids and seeding or not. Lastly, it will be interesting to see what the committee does with some of the teams who have fallen apart late in the season. We have a few teams who seemed to be locks a couple weeks ago who have now lost 5 of 6 or 4 of their last 6 games. Do those teams need to now make a deep run in their Conference Tournaments? A lot of tough decisions coming up by the selection committee!

Bubble Watch

TEAM CONF STK Last 10 RPI* SOS*
Rochester WHAC W2  7-2 1 21
Dillard GCAC W1  5-2 11 161
Jamestown GPAC L1  7-3 17 185
Huntington CL L1  6-4 20 31
Dakota Wesleyan GPAC L3  3-7 24 120
Middle Georgia SSAC W1  6-4 26 63
Northwestern (IA) GPAC W9  9-1 29 115
Columbia AMC L1  8-2 32 102
Madonna WHAC W5  6-2 33 37
Cumberlands MSC W2  6-4 35 69
Mid-America Christian SAC W2 7-3 36 95
Mayville State NSAA W4  7-3 38 109
Ottawa KCAC W4  7-3 39 71
Texas A&M Texarkana RRAC W1  9-1 52 192
Valley City State NSAA W1  6-4 53 57
Carroll FC L1  9-1 62 119
Grace CL W1  4-6 71 126
Lyon AMC W4  8-2 87 141
The Master’s GSAC W3  7-3 133 197

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